52 hours to go

Parcells blew up my last mock, but I'm feeling confident about this one. The key pick here is at 3. If Atlanta takes Ryan, the next 12 picks are just about locked in if their are no trades. The Jared Allen deal has a huge effect on 3 picks: the Chiefs are more likely to take a defensive lineman at five, the Raiders are now more likely to take a defensive lineman to keep them off the Chiefs at four, and the 17th pick going to the Chiefs can cause a ripple effect into the 20s. That being said, I still have the Chiefs taking Albert at five, because LT is a huge need and there is too much smoke around that pick for their interest not to be real.

1. Miami Dolphins - Jake Long OT Michigan
2. St. Louis Rams - Glenn Dorsey DT LSU
3. Atlanta Falcons - Matt Ryan QB BC
4. Oakland Raiders - Chris Long DE Virginia
5. Kansas City Chiefs - Branden Albert OT/OG Virginia
6. New York Jets - Darren McFadden RB Arkansas
7. New England Patriots - Keith Rivers LB USC
8. Baltimore Ravens - Vernon Gholston DE/OLB Ohio State
9. Cincinnati Bengals - Sedrick Ellis DT USC
10. New Orleans Saints - Leodis McKelvin CB Troy
11. Buffalo Bills - Devin Thomas WR Michigan State
12. Denver Broncos - Ryan Clady OT Boise State
13. Carolina Panthers - Chris Williams OT Vanderbilt
14. Chicago Bears - Jeff Otah OT Pitt
15. Detroit Lions - Rashard Mendenhall RB Illinois
16. Arizona Cardinals - Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie CB Tennessee State
17. Kansas City Chiefs (from Minnesota Vikings) - Derrick Harvey DE Florida
18. Houston Texans - Mike Jenkins CB South Florida
19. Philadelphia Eagles - Aqib Talib CB Kansas
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - James Hardy WR Indiana
21. Washington Redskins - Philip Merling DE Clemson
22. Dallas Cowboys - Desean Jackson WR Cal
23. Pittsburgh Steelers - Kentwan Balmer DT UNC
24. Tennessee Titans - Linas Sweed WR Texas
25. Seattle Seahawks - Malcolm Kelly WR Oklahoma
26. Jacksonville Jaguars - Calais Campbell DE Miami
27. San Diego Chargers - Gordon Cherilus OT BC
28. Dallas Cowboys - Felix Jones RB Arkansas
29. San Francisco 49ers - Jerrod Mayo LB Tennessee
30. Green Bay Packers - Brandon Flowers CB Virginia Tech
31. New York Giants - Kenny Phillips S Miami